Research Hub
Newsletters, data dashboards, and resources for prediction market research.
📊 Kalshi's $1 billion round
Plus: MLB bets on Polymarket, and prediction markets' media control
📊 Polymarket's opening a bar in D.C.
Plus: CFTC copies Kalshi's homework, and Polymarket acquires Brahma's trading tech
📊 No-code market making hits Polymarket
Plus: Arizona calls Kalshi a casino, and Congress moves to ban war bets
📊 Traders flip the Senate on Kalshi
Plus: CFTC weighs killing event contracts, and regulators draw the line between finance and gambling
📊 CFTC tells states to back off
Plus: 'Gruesome' war bets spark crackdown calls, and Kalshi's co-founder bet on herself at 1% odds
📊 CME wants rules for everyone else
Plus: CFTC raises the bar on sports contracts, and opens prediction markets to public comment
📊 Democrats declare war on death bets
Plus: A judge calls Kalshi's sports bets gambling, and the SEC and CFTC finally make up
📊 Kalshi puts death in the fine print
Plus: Senators push insider trading ban for officials, and a judge reverses her own Kalshi ruling
📊 Polymarket's Magamyman problem
Plus: Polymarket nukes its own market, and Mulvaney bets against prediction markets
📊 Kalshi faces Iran market backlash
Plus: Polymarket insider makes $493K on Iran bet, and $50K lost on Kalshi (New York wants answers)
📊 Kalshi catches Mr. Beast employee
Plus: CFTC drops first prediction markets case, State of the Union causes record breaking numbers, and more.
📊 Senators say Polymarket can't kill people
Plus: X kills Kalshi's affiliate machine, a Democratic donor gets blocked on Kalshi, and DraftKing reduces staff headcount
📊 Kalshi and Polymarket under fire
Plus: Kalshi goes on the offensive, and a New England newspaper believes states need to take control.
📊 Polymarket's $9B Panama shell company
Plus: Kalshi runs the DraftKings playbook, and sports' uncomfortably(?) large share of prediction market volume.
📊 The markets all traders want
Plus: Tradeweb integrates with Kalshi, and Fanatics's prediction market playbook (leaked)
📊 Novig's $75M plan to unlock all 50 states
Plus: The paper that changes Kalshi's status, Polymarket links with blog site leader, and more exciting raises in the prediction markets space.